Options Mispricing Snapshot – August 20, 2018

UNDERLYINGS:
FILTERS:
TIME:
August 20, 2018 10:00 ET (New York)

All major equity indices are hovering near their all-time highs struggling to break to the upside. Volatility indices are near their lows reflecting the silent markets. 

Options mispricing disposition has not changed significantly since the last Snapshot: put options are mostly overpriced while call options are either underpriced or priced fairly – as in a typical silent market condition. 

Mispricing summary for the options with two to five weeks until expiration:

    Puts  Calls
OTM ATM ATM OTM
SPY

Near-term

Overpriced substantially

Overpriced

Underpriced

Fairly priced

Farther

expirations

Overpriced substantially

Overpriced

Underpriced

Fairly priced

QQQ Near-term

Fairly priced

Underpriced substantially

Farther

expirations

Overpriced

Fairly priced

Underpriced substantially

IWM Near-term Overpriced Fairly priced

Fairly priced

Farther

expirations

Overpriced substantially

Fairly priced

Underpriced

Major opportunities can be found in the overpriced puts on SPY and OTM puts on QQQ and IWM.  Call options on QQQ and ATM options on SPY are good candidates for buying.

Options Mispricing Snapshot – August 7, 2018

UNDERLYINGS:
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TIME:
August 7, 2018 10:00 ET (New York)

All major equity indices are still at their all-time highs, volatility indices have dropped after the end of the earnings season. 

As in a typical market condition, put options are mostly overpriced while call options are either underpriced or priced fairly. 

Mispricing summary for the options with two to five weeks until expiration:

    Puts  Calls
OTM ATM ATM OTM
SPY

Near-term

Overpriced

Underpriced

Fairly priced

Farther

expirations

Overpriced substantially

Overpriced

Underpriced substantially

QQQ Near-term

Overpriced 

Fairly priced

Fairly priced

Farther

expirations

Overpriced

Fairly priced

IWM Near-term Fairly priced

Fairly priced

Farther

expirations

Overpriced

Fairly priced

Underpriced

Major opportunities can be found in the overpriced puts on SPY and OTM puts on QQQ and IWM.  Call options on SPY with farther expirations are good candidates for buying.

Options Mispricing Snapshot – July 23, 2018

UNDERLYINGS:
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TIME:
July 23, 2018 10:00 ET (New York)

All major equity indices are fluctuating near their all-time highs struggling to break them to the upside. Volatility indices look slightly elevated for such a silent market, probably due to the earnings season. 

Put options are mostly overpriced, as usual; call options are either underpriced or priced fairly. Comparing to the previous snapshots, major part on options series are priced fairly.

Mispricing summary for the options with two to five weeks until expiration:

    Puts  Calls
OTM ATM ATM OTM
SPY

Near-term

Overpriced

Underpriced

Farther

expirations

Overpriced substantially

 

Underpriced substantially

 

QQQ Near-term

Overpriced 

Fairly priced

Farther

expirations

Overpriced

Fairly priced

Fairly priced

IWM Near-term Overpriced  Fairly priced

Fairly priced

Farther

expirations

Overpriced 

 

Fairly priced

Fairly priced

Major opportunities can be found in overpriced puts on SPY and OTM puts on QQQ and IWM.  Call options on SPY are good candidates for buying.

Options Mispricing Snapshot – July 6, 2018

UNDERLYINGS:
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TIME:
July 6, 2018 10:30 ET (New York)

Equity markets look calming down after two volatile weeks of trading tensions between the US and trading partners. All major indices are recovering and the markets are calming down driving the volatility indices lower. 

Put options are still overpriced, although not that substantially as in two previous weeks (see June 25 Snapshot); call options are also less underpriced than previously. Calls on IWM are mostly overpriced.

Mispricing summary for the options with two to five weeks until expiration:

    Puts  Calls
OTM ATM ATM OTM
SPY

Near-term

Fairly priced

Fairly priced

Farther

expirations

Overpriced substantially

 

Underpriced

 

QQQ Near-term

Overpriced 

Underpriced

Farther

expirations

Overpriced 

 

Underpriced 

IWM Near-term Fairly priced Overpriced

Farther

expirations

Overpriced substantially

 

 Overpriced  Overpriced

Major opportunities can still be found in overpriced puts and underpriced calls on SPY and QQQ. IWM calls and farther puts can be good candidates for selling.

Options Mispricing Snapshot – June 25, 2018

UNDERLYINGS:
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TIME:
June 25, 2018 10:00 ET (New York)

All major equity indices reacted sharply today to the trading tensions between the US and trading partners. SPY, QQQ, and IWM have dropped substantially driving their volatility indices higher. Neither of them has still reached oversold levels though.

Usually, in such a panicking market, puts are becoming substantially overpriced, which is currently evident for SPY and QQQ, while IWM put’s reaction has been not so strong yet. Calls are mostly underpriced due to the expected upward move (mean reversion force).

Mispricing summary for the options with two to five weeks until expiration:

    Puts  Calls
OTM ATM ATM OTM
SPY

Near-term

Overpriced substantially

Underpriced substantially

Farther

expirations

Overpriced substantially

 

Underpriced substantially

 

QQQ Near-term

Overpriced substantially

Underpriced

Farther

expirations

Overpriced substantially

 

Underpriced substantially

IWM Near-term Fairly priced Underpriced Fairly priced

Farther

expirations

Overpriced

Underpriced

Major opportunities are observed in substantially overpriced puts and underpriced calls on SPY and QQQ. IWM options of the near-term series do not demonstrate any meaningful mispricing while puts are overpriced and calls are overpriced in farther expirations.

The information provided on this Website is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as an investment advice. It is not intended to replace consultation with a qualified financial professional. Investing in options involves risk of potential loss exceeding the whole amount of money invested. No one should make any investment decision without first consulting his or her own financial advisor and conducting his or her own research and due diligence.